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John Robert Warren Associate Professor ~ Director of Undergraduate Studies 909 Social Sciences ~ 612.624.2310 (Office) ~ 612.624.7020 (FAX) Current CV
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(Page last
updated 2/16/09)
Interest Areas
Social Stratification; Sociology of
Education
Current Research
PANEL
CONDITIONING EFFECTS IN LONGITUDINAL STUDIES (with Andrew Halpern-Manners)
Longitudinal (or panel) surveys provide great methodological
leverage in establishing causality and in understanding processes that unfold
over time. Despite their tremendous
value for research in innumerable academic and applied fields, longitudinal
surveys also present a variety of unique methodological problems. Among the least well-understood of these
problems is known as “panel conditioning,” or bias introduced when
participation in one wave of a longitudinal study alters respondents’
subsequent reports of their attitudes and/or behaviors.
Does participation in longitudinal surveys affect respondents’
subsequent reports of their attitudes and/or behaviors? If partaking in a longitudinal survey does
alter participants’ responses to subsequent attitudinal and/or behavioral
survey questions, then this calls into question the validity of information
derived from any number of widely-used data resources.
We will use data from the Current Population Surveys and the
German Socioeconomic Panel to estimate the magnitude of panel conditioning or
“time-in-survey” effects. Previous
assessments of the magnitude of panel conditioning effects have typically
utilized methodologically weak or flawed non-experimental research designs which
conflate panel conditioning effects with panel attrition effects. Furthermore, previous efforts to estimate the
magnitude of panel conditioning effects have focused on consequences for a
limited range of attitudinal or behavioral measures. In this project we will estimate the
magnitude of these effects across a very broad range of measures obtained in a
lengthy omnibus survey. What is more,
few previous investigators have tested theoretically-derived hypotheses about
the conditions under which panel conditioning effects will be large, small, or
non-existent. The breadth and variety of
survey items under consideration in the proposed analyses allow for a better
theoretical understanding of the circumstances under which panel conditioning
effects may be more or less serious.
This project has been supported by the National Science Foundation;
other grant proposals are now in preparation.
THE
The Wisconsin Longitudinal Study (WLS) is a long-term study of a
random sample of 10,317 men and women who graduated from
We are currently planning in-home interviews in 2009 of the
surviving members of the graduate sample; they will be about 70 years old when
re-contacted. We are also planning (a)
physical examinations, in collaboration with the Survey of Health Outcomes in
Wisconsin; (b) parallel in-home interviews in 2009-2010 of about 5,500 randomly
selected siblings of the graduates, mainly aged 60 to 80; (c) parallel in-home
interviews with spouses of graduates and siblings; (d) interviews with adult
children of WLS graduates and siblings; and (e) continuing links to
Medicare/Medicaid records and to the National Death Index. The WLS is unique as
a large scale longitudinal study of adults and their families that covers more
than half a century. It is a valuable public resource for studies of aging and
the life course; intergenerational relationships; family relations;
non-normative parenting outcomes (disabilities and mental illness among adult
children); long-term effects of education and cognitive ability; occupational
careers; physical and mental well-being; health literacy; cognitive change; and
morbidity and mortality.
Since 1991, the WLS has been supported principally by the National
Institute on Aging (AG-9775 and AG-21079), with additional support from the
Vilas Estate Trust, the National Science Foundation, the Spencer Foundation,
and the Graduate School of the University of Wisconsin-Madison. A public use
file of data from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study is available here.
WORK AND
FAMILY ACROSS THE LIFE COURSE (with Jim Raymo, UW-Madison)
We are investigating the extent to which work and family
trajectories across the life course affect physical and mental health and
financial well-being in later adulthood either directly or through their
effects on more proximate predictors of these outcomes. To what extent are health and financial
well-being among older adults affected by individuals’ contemporaneous work,
family, and other circumstances and to what extent are such outcomes due to
life-course patterns of experiences in the family and the labor market? How do all of these processes differ for
women and men?
The meaning and nature of the retirement years has changed in
fundamental ways in recent decades.
Given that successful aging has increasingly come to depend on
individuals’ own planning and resources at earlier ages; given broad social
changes that have redefined employment relationships, women’s rates of
participation in the paid labor market, and rates of marital dissolution; given
growing heterogeneity in men’s and women’s work and family trajectories; and
given growing heterogeneity in the well-being of older Americans in recent
cohorts, our investigation of the impact of life course patterns of work and
family circumstances on health and financial well-being in later adulthood is timely
and important. Our work is fundamentally
concerned with understanding the determinants of the well-being of older
Americans in an era of changing social, economic, and policy contexts.
We will utilize data from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study (WLS). The WLS data include detailed information
about family circumstances and transitions across the life course; labor force
experiences across the career; and physical and mental health and financial
well-being at two points between ages 54 and 65. We will use group-based trajectory modeling
techniques to characterize the trajectories of family circumstances and
transitions from birth through age 65 and trajectories of labor force
experiences and exposures from age 36 through age 65. Cognizant of the complexities and
endogeneities in the causal relationships involved, we will then estimate the
impact of these work and family trajectories (separately for men and women) on
health and financial well-being in later adulthood before and after controlling
for more proximate influences on these outcomes.
Grant proposals are now under review.
This long-term project is designed to assess the consequences of
state-mandated high school exit examinations for high school completion,
educational achievement, and post-high school labor market outcomes. This project has been supported by grants
from the Spencer Foundation, the U.S. Department of Education /
Click here
to be directed to the “State High School Exit Examination” web site.
Recent Papers
RECENTLY PUBLISHED
Eric S. Grodsky, John Robert Warren,
& Erika Felts. 2008. “Testing and Social Stratification in American
Education.” Annual Review of Sociology 34:385-404.
John Robert Warren, Eric S. Grodsky,
& Jennifer C. Lee. 2008. “
John Robert Warren, Peter Hoonakker,
& Pascale Carayon. 2008. “Changes in Health Between Ages 54 and 66: The
Role of Job Characteristics and Socioeconomic Status.” Research on Aging
30:672-700.
John Robert Warren & Andrew
Halpern-Manners. 2007. “Is the Glass Emptying or Filling Up? Reconciling
Divergent Trends in High School Completion and Dropout.” Educational
Researcher 36:335-343. (Click
here for
the technical appendix)
John Robert Warren & Elaine M.
Hernandez. 2007. “Did Socioeconomic Inequalities in Mortality and Morbidity
Change in the
FORTHCOMING
John Robert Warren. “Socioeconomic
Status and Health across the Life Course: A Test of the Social Causation and
Health Selection Hypotheses.” Social Forces. 
John Robert Warren & Andrew
Halpern-Manners. “Measuring High School Graduation Rates at the State Level:
What Difference Does Methodology Make?” Sociological Methods & Research.
John Robert Warren and Caitlin Hamrock. “The Effect of Minimum
Wage Rates on States’ High School Completion Rates.” 
Eric S. Grodsky, John Robert Warren,
& Demetra Kalogrides. “
Andrew Halpern-Manners, John Robert
Warren, and Jennie Brand. “Dynamic Measures of Primary and Secondary School
Characteristics: Implications for School Effects Research.” Social Science
Research. 
John Robert Warren & Eric S.
Grodsky. “State Exit Exams Harm the Students Who Fail Them and Do Not Benefit
the Students Who Pass Them. Now What?” Phi Delta Kappan.
UNDER REVIEW
John Robert Warren & Amelia Corl. “
James Raymo, John
Robert Warren , Robert M. Hauser, Megan Sweeney, and JeongHwa Ho. “Later-life
Employment Preferences and Outcomes: The Role of Mid-life Work Experiences”
James Raymo, John
Robert Warren , Megan Sweeney, Robert M. Hauser, and JeongHwa Ho. “Mid-life
Work Experiences and First Retirement”
IN PROGRESS
Elaine M.
Hernandez and John Robert Warren. “The Effects of Macro- And Individual-Level
Socioeconomic Status on Child Mortality in
John Robert Warren
and James Raymo. “The Impact of Work and Family Roles on Life Outcomes in Late
Adulthood.”
John Robert
Warren, Peter Wruck, and Caren Arbeit. “The Blurry Line Between Secondary and
Post-Secondary Schooling in the
John Robert Warren
and Andrew Halpern-Manners. “Panel Conditioning Effects in Longitudinal Social
Science Surveys.”
Peter Wruck and
John Robert Warren. “Do School Funding Referenda Matter for Academic
Achievement?”
Courses
RESEARCH
METHODS (Sociology 3801, Undergraduate Level) (Fall 2006
Syllabus)
STATISTICS (Sociology
3811, Undergraduate Level) (Spring 2006 Syllabus)
STATISTICS (Sociology
5811, Graduate Level) (Fall 2006 Syllabus)
STATISTICS (~Sociology
8811, Graduate Level) (Spring 2001
Syllabus)
SOCIAL
STRATIFICATION (~Sociology 3201, Undergraduate Level) (Summer 2001 Syllabus)
SOCIAL
STRATIFICATION (Sociology 8201, Graduate Level) (Spring 2004 Syllabus)
SOCIOLOGY AS
A PROFESSION (Sociology 8001, Graduate Level) (Fall 2006 Syllabus)
Service
1.
I am the deputy editor of Sociology of Education.
Click here to go to the journal web site.
2.
I organize the Department of Sociology’s weekly workshop
series. Click here
to go to the workshop schedule.
3.
I am the Department of Sociology’s Director of Undergraduate
Studies. Click here
for information about the department’s undergraduate program.
Personal Stuff
- I have a lovely wife and two awesome
sons. Click here for a picture.
- I play for Nemesis in the Adult (ice)
Hockey Association. Click here to follow our progress.
- The Chicago Cubs will win the 2009 World Series. Click here to follow their progress. AC0063100 EAMUS
CATULI
- The St. Paul Saints will win the 2009 American Association
championship. Click here
to follow their progress.
